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Application of neural networks in modelling serviceability deterioration of concrete stormwater pipes

机译:神经网络在混凝土雨水管道使用寿命退化建模中的应用

摘要

Stormwater pipe systems in Australia are designed to convey water from rainfall and surface runoff only and do not transport sewage. Any blockage can cause flooding events with the probability of subsequent property damage. Proactive maintenance plans that can enhance their serviceability need to be developed based on a sound deterioration model. This paper uses a neural network (NN) approach to model deterioration in serviceability of concrete stormwater pipes, which make up the bulk of the stormwater network in Australia. System condition data was collected using CCTV images. The outcomes of model are the identification of the significant factors influencing the serviceability deterioration and the forecasting of the change of serviceability condition over time for individual pipes based on the pipe attributes. The proposed method is validated and compared with multiple discriminant analysis, a traditionally statistical method. The results show that the NN model can be applied to forecasting serviceability deterioration. However, further improvements in data collection and condition grading schemes should be carried out to increase the prediction accuracy of the NN model.
机译:澳大利亚的雨水管道系统设计为仅输送降雨和地表径流中的水,而不输送污水。任何堵塞都可能导致洪水事件,并可能造成随后的财产损失。需要基于完善的恶化模型制定可以提高其可维护性的主动维护计划。本文使用神经网络(NN)方法来模拟混凝土雨水管使用寿命的恶化,这构成了澳大利亚雨水网的大部分。使用CCTV图像收集系统条件数据。该模型的结果是识别影响使用寿命下降的重要因素,并根据管道属性预测各个管道的使用寿命随时间变化。对该方法进行了验证,并与传统的统计方法多重判别分析进行了比较。结果表明,神经网络模型可用于预测服务能力下降。但是,应该对数据收集和条件分级方案进行进一步的改进,以提高NN模型的预测精度。

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